Understanding the Downturn in the Mobile Core Network Market: An In-Depth Examination

The worldwide mobile core network market, a vital component of the telecommunications industry, has recently faced significant challenges. In the third quarter of this year, the market experienced its weakest growth, marking levels not seen since late 2017. Dell’Oro, a market analysis firm specializing in telecommunications, characterizes the mobile core network market as unstable, akin to a roller coaster ride. This article explores the reasons behind this fluctuating growth trajectory and delves into the major players in the industry.

Weakest growth in Q3

During the third quarter of this year, the mobile core network market recorded its lowest quarterly growth rate in nearly six years. This decline has caught the attention of industry experts and prompted concerns about the stability of the market. The weakening of growth compared to previous quarters, coupled with the dip to 2017 levels, raises questions about the factors contributing to this setback.

Major players in the market

Huawei, a prominent player in the telecommunications industry, maintained its lead as the top mobile core network provider in the third quarter. Following closely behind are Ericsson, Nokia, and ZTE. The positions held by these major players are crucial as they influence market dynamics and shape the direction of the industry. Their overall performance and strategies are key indicators of market trends and future growth.

Slow rollout of standalone 5G networks

One significant factor contributing to the inconsistent growth trajectory of the mobile core network market is the slower-than-expected rollout of standalone 5G networks by telecom operators. Despite the immense potential of standalone networks, operators have shown a preference for non-standalone 5G networks. This preference has been driven by factors such as cost-effectiveness and the utilization of existing infrastructure. Unfortunately, this approach has slowed down the deployment rate of standalone 5G networks.

Numbers on standalone 5G networks

The pace at which standalone 5G networks are being deployed has significantly reduced. In 2023, only seven standalone 5G networks have been launched so far, down from seventeen launches in the previous year. This indicates a notable decline in operators’ commitment to establishing standalone networks. The Global Mobile Suppliers Association (GSA) reported that, by the end of June, only 36 operators worldwide had launched public 5G SA networks, representing a mere one-operator increase from the previous quarter. These figures highlight a disparity between initial expectations and the industry’s actual progress in rolling out standalone 5G networks.

Weakest performing regions

Surprisingly, the weakest performing regions in the overall mobile network core market during this period were EMEA (Europe, Middle East, and Africa) and China. These regions, which were among the strongest in the prior quarter, experienced a significant downturn. The reasons behind this unexpected decline warrant further investigation to understand the unique challenges faced by these regions amidst the industry-wide instability.

Predictions for future growth

While current trends suggest a challenging period for the mobile core network market, there is room for optimism. Market analysts anticipate a larger number of 5G SA networks to be deployed in 2024 compared to 2023. This prediction paints a more positive outlook and suggests that the market’s performance may outshine the relatively weaker performance witnessed in 2023. It is crucial to observe how industry dynamics evolve and how operators adapt their strategies to foster growth and stability.

The worldwide mobile core network market has experienced its weakest growth in nearly six years, leading industry experts to characterize it as unstable. Factors such as the slower-than-expected rollout of standalone 5G networks and regional downturns have contributed to this rollercoaster-like trajectory. However, the continued evolution of the market and the anticipated increase in 5G SA networks provide hope for future growth and stability. As the industry continues to navigate these challenges, it is crucial for operators and stakeholders to adapt their strategies to ensure the sustained progress of the mobile core network market.

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