Can Ether Outperform Bitcoin in 2025 Amid Staking and ETF Dynamics?

Ether, the native cryptocurrency of the Ethereum blockchain, has historically lagged behind Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. However, it experienced a remarkable resurgence towards the end of 2024, driven by Bitcoin’s record-breaking upward trajectory. Despite these gains, Ether was still trading below its all-time high of $4,900, closing 2024 with a 53% increase compared to Bitcoin’s impressive 113% surge. Notably, Ether began showing signs of renewed strength immediately following the U.S. presidential election, where President-elect Donald Trump was anticipated to introduce favorable policies for the cryptocurrency market. This political optimism drove Ether up by 39%, surpassing Bitcoin’s 35% gain during the same period.

Key Drivers for Ether’s Optimistic Outlook

Several significant factors have contributed to Ether’s optimistic outlook for 2025. Among these are robust staking dynamics, consistent transaction fees, and increasing institutional interest, particularly through the introduction of Ether-focused ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds). The launch of spot Ether ETFs in mid-2024 marked a pivotal moment, with these financial instruments proving successful as tools for risk management. The CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) reported trading nearly 12 million Ether contracts, valued at $256 billion, in 2024. This trading was particularly active towards the end of the year, reflecting a positive market sentiment post-election. Furthermore, the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) noted record-high levels of open interest in Ether futures, a clear indication of growing institutional engagement.

Also, the ETH-BTC ratio, which measures Ether’s performance relative to Bitcoin, reached a record low on November 20, 2024. This metric may represent a bottoming out, with the potential for improvement driven by better regulatory clarity and increased institutional adoption of Ether. This low ratio could signal an opportunity for traders to rotate their investments from Bitcoin to Ether and other altcoins, a phenomenon often referred to as “Alt Season”. As investors seek better returns, Ether’s improving regulatory environment and institutional appeal may facilitate this transition, making it an attractive option within a diversified cryptocurrency portfolio.

Performance of Ether-Focused ETFs

Examining the performance of ETFs, Ether-focused ETFs since their launch have outperformed those focused on Bitcoin. By the end of November 2024, Ether ETFs had attracted a cumulative $577 million in net inflows, a significant milestone compared to Bitcoin ETFs. This trend indicates a shifting investor sentiment, with increased confidence and growing interest in Ether as a viable investment vehicle. The further integration of Ethereum staking yields into ETFs, pending regulatory approval, could amplify this interest among institutional investors. With these financial products offering new ways to manage risk, they serve to enhance Ether’s appeal, widening its market reach and investor base.

The article also highlights the concept of “Alt Season,” wherein Bitcoin initially leads a market rally before consolidating, allowing altcoins like Ether to catch up. This cyclic behavior has been evidenced by Bitcoin’s market dominance dropping from 61.7% in October to 56.5% in December, suggesting a growing momentum among alternative cryptocurrencies. Such market dynamics provide a fertile ground for Ether and other altcoins to thrive, as investors diversify their holdings and explore new opportunities within the broader cryptocurrency landscape. The momentum may serve to continue driving investment flows into Ether-focused ETFs and other related financial instruments.

Staking Yields and Ethereum’s Value Proposition

Staking yields present another compelling reason for Ether’s anticipated outperformance. Investors can earn returns by staking their Ether holdings, with approximately 28% of Ether’s total supply locked in staking contracts. These contracts offer an average annualized reward rate of 3%, and anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, coupled with continued Ethereum blockchain upgrades, may further enhance these yields. As the economic environment shifts, the relative attractiveness of staking Ether may improve, providing additional incentives for holding and investing in the cryptocurrency. This could lead to increased demand and further price appreciation in the coming year.

Furthermore, Ethereum’s inherent value proposition extends beyond mere digital currency applications. It remains a foundational platform for decentralized finance (DeFi), smart contracts, decentralized applications (DAPPS), and non-fungible tokens (NFTs). The total value locked in Ethereum-based DeFi projects had surged to $69.4 billion by the end of 2024, reflecting increasing confidence in Ethereum as a versatile platform for innovation. Such wide-ranging applications underscore Ethereum’s unique position within the blockchain ecosystem, enabling it to capture a larger share of the growing market for decentralized solutions. Consequently, Ether’s multifaceted utility serves to strengthen its long-term investment case.

Technological Upgrades Driving Ethereum’s Potential

Ether, the native cryptocurrency of the Ethereum blockchain, has traditionally been a step behind Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies in terms of value and market presence. However, it saw an extraordinary comeback towards the end of 2024, mainly spurred by Bitcoin’s record-setting upward trend. Despite these impressive gains, Ether still traded below its all-time peak of $4,900, although it ended 2024 with a strong 53% increase, as opposed to Bitcoin’s stunning 113% rise.

A key moment for Ether was the period immediately after the U.S. presidential election. The election resulted in President-elect Donald Trump, who was expected to introduce policies favorable to the cryptocurrency market. This political optimism led to a notable 39% rally in Ether’s value, outpacing Bitcoin’s 35% gain during the same timeframe. This resurgence hinted at renewed strength for Ether, showing its potential to close the gap with Bitcoin and reclaim its former highs, influenced by broader market dynamics and optimistic political changes.

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